TT101 DAILY INTELLIGENCE · ISSUE 64 · 25 SEP 2026

Yields Stay High. Buy-Zone Quality Stays Strong.

Full web edition. The website carries the complete decision-useful intelligence from the PDF, with links into the living TT101 research system.

How to Read the Daily Edge

Read in this order: 1 Regime → 2 Themes → 3 Entry Windows → 4 TT Swing & Flow → 5 Company Research → 6 Portfolio / Capital Decision → 7 Final Inference.

Regime tells you how aggressive to be. M Support tells you where structural location is favorable. TT Good RR flags favorable risk/reward. Direct New means research immediately but do not chase. SELECT is a TT101 research designation, not a personalized buy instruction.

FULL TT101 GLOSSARY & GUIDE →   ·   HOW TT SWING WORKS →

1. Daily Edge — the executive summary

REGIME: SELECTIVE RISK-ON / 10Y YIELD PRESSURE

Trending94 vs 92 yesterdayQM+76 · 81%
TS Active57 · 61%Median RV0.77
Turnover$201BDirect New8
  • TXN: one of the cleanest Leader + Trending M Support names. M Support 268.57.
  • DELL: fresh CoreWatch TT Swing favorable-RR event, LONG with RR(M) 2.1:1.
  • MPC / VLO: high-quality Direct New discoveries; research now, do not chase.
  • NYT: standout Y Support quality name.

Single takeaway: buy-zone quality is stronger than the index tape suggests. Favor high-quality M Support / TT Good RR names over momentum chasing.

2. Market Regime — how aggressive should we be?

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished Thursday near flat; Dow slipped about 0.3%.
  • 10Y Treasury yield finished around 5.22%, keeping long-duration growth under valuation pressure.
  • Electronic Technology + Technology Services account for roughly 83% of Trending turnover.
  • Trending expanded to 94 from 92; QM-positive eased to 76 (81%).
  • Median RV fell to 0.77 while dollar turnover improved to about $201B.
  • Trending DOWN contains 32 names, but weakness is dispersed rather than systemic.
  • TS-active names rose to 57: the opportunity set is becoming more selective, not collapsing.

Position rule: entry quality comes from TT Good RR / M Support; stock priority and sizing remain tied to FCF quality after the story passes.

3. Theme & Leadership Map — where is capital flowing?

ThemeStocksStatus
AI Compute / MemoryAMD INTC MU SNDK ARM STX HPEStrong
AI Networking / OpticsAPH ANET LITE MRVL GLWStrong
Enterprise AI SoftwareDDOG NOW VEEV SHOPStrong
Refining / EnergyMPC VLO FRO APAEmerging
Data-Center PowerNVT ETN MPWR VICRSelective

AI remains the dominant long-side cluster, but software provides a useful economic diversifier. Refining is the important fresh theme as MPC and VLO entered Trending directly.

4. Structural Entry Windows — where is location favorable?

CoreWatch M Support

APH 83.08
NVT 162.88
TER 387.70
AEM 193.88
DDOG 256.92

Leaders M Support

TXN 270.65
GLW 154.15
APH 83.08
TER 387.70
SHOP 145.16
CRM 238.22
NOW 137.78
MPWR 1335.55

Trending M Support

TXN 270.65 · APH 83.08 · EBAY 107.83 · NVT 162.88 · TER 387.70 · DDOG 256.92 · SHOP 145.16 · NOW 137.78 · MPWR 1335.55 · HCA 423.48 · CORT 118.51

Convergence: ALL THREE — APH, TER · CORE + TREND — NVT, DDOG · LEADER + TREND — TXN, SHOP, NOW, MPWR.

Y Support: NYT 63.05 / YS 61.96 / +1.8% · CLSK 14.26 / 13.87 / +2.8% · SMCI 41.51 / 41.04 / +1.2%. NYT is the only Y Support name today with a clearly positive business-quality / FCF profile.

5. TT Swing + Trending Flow — setup, RR and change

TickerSignalRRState
DELLLONG / RR(M) GOODRR(M) 2.1:1Day 16 · fresh favorable-RR event
APHLONG / HOLD D3RR(Q) 3.6:1 · RR(M) 1.3:1Active
NVTLONG / BREAKOUT D4RR(Q) 5.4:1 · RR(M) 1.1:1Breakout
HPELONG / BREAKOUT D13RR(Q) 0.1:1 · RR(M) 1.4:1Mature move
IAUSHORT / BREAKOUT D2RR(Q) 7.3:1 · RR(M) 1.6:1ETF macro context only

New In: CORT CRL FRO GDDY HCA IONQ MPC MXL SITM VLO
Direct New: CRL FRO GDDY IONQ MPC MXL SITM VLO
Graduated: ETN NBIS ULTA
Out: AKAM ASML EL FCX MDB SNX TSEM U

OPEN TT SWING →

6. Short Side — where is weakness concentrated?

Trending DOWN — 32: LPLA · SMR · COHR · WULF · SOFI · ONDS · OKLO · ORCL · BABA · RIVN · MP · AAOI · ASTS · ARES · NCLH · RCL · GRAB · FN · PCG · AAL · CTVA · NRG · TSCO · MTZ · DKS · CLX · BLDR · CCJ · UAL · BG · F · GIS

TickerPriceM ResistanceDistance
WULF16.2916.51-1.3%
CTVA79.4581.47-2.5%
BG110.21112.77-2.3%
  • WULF has severe FCF deterioration but meaningful HPC catalyst / squeeze risk.
  • BG raised full-year EPS guidance after a strong Q2; technical weakness is not automatically a broken business.
  • CTVA is the cleaner research-next name of the three, not an automatic short.

7. Single Research Queue — is the company worth owning?

Merged queue: TXN · GLW · DELL · APH · NVT · TER · DDOG · SHOP · NOW · MPC/VLO · NYT

  • TXN — SELECT: Q2 revenue +23% YoY; TTM FCF $6.5B; Q3 guidance stepped higher.
  • GLW — SELECT: Q2 core sales +17%; Optical Communications +32%; Enterprise Networks +65%.
  • DELL — SELECT: fiscal Q2 revenue $47.0B, +58%; full-year revenue guidance raised to $192B.
  • APH — SELECT: Q2 sales +55%, organic +30%, orders $10.7B, FCF $1.2B.
  • NVT — SELECT: record sales, 47% organic growth, strong cash generation, raised outlook.
  • TER — SELECT: Q2 revenue +104%; AI compute/memory drove semiconductor test.
  • DDOG — SELECT: Q2 revenue +36% to $1.12B; $279M FCF.
  • SHOP — SELECT: broad 30%+ growth across core commerce metrics and strong FCF conversion.
  • NOW — SELECT: subscription growth, AI monetization and recurring software economics remain intact.
  • MPC / VLO — WAIT ENTRY: exceptional Q2 refining economics and strong cash generation, but no preferred TT Good RR / M Support entry yet.
  • NYT — Y SUPPORT WATCH: Q2 revenue +11.2%, digital subscription revenue +16.4%, digital ads +20.7%, 13.35M subscribers.

OPEN LIVING COMPANY RESEARCH →

8. Portfolio + Capital Decision — does it fit the book?

Current book / intent: ANET — confirmed starter · ENTG — confirmed starter · ETN — order pending · NOW — desired / unconfirmed.

TickerStatusLocationContext
TXNSELECT270.65 / MS 268.57 / +0.8%Leader MS + Trend MS
GLWSELECT154.15 / M Support active*Leader MS
DELLSELECT536.02 / RR(M) 2.1:1TT Good RR
APHSELECT83.08 / MS 81.06 / +2.5%Core + Leader + Trend MS
EBAYSELECTIVE107.83 / MS 106.41 / +1.3%Trend MS
NVTSELECT162.88 / MS 158.79 / +2.6%Core + Trend MS
TERSELECT387.70 / MS 380.60 / +1.9%Core + Leader + Trend MS
AEMWAIT / MACRO193.88 / M Support active*Core MS
DDOGSELECT256.92 / MS 249.59 / +2.9%Core + Trend MS
SHOPSELECT145.16 / MS 140.96 / +3.0%Leader + Trend MS
CRMSELECTIVE238.22 / MS 234.69 / +1.5%Leader MS
NOWSELECT137.78 / MS 136.46 / +1.0%Leader + Trend MS

*For CoreWatch / Leader-only M Support names, the feed confirms the stock is inside the filter but does not always export the exact pivot value. TT101 does not fabricate it.

9. Final Desk Inference — what matters most today?

  1. Regime: Selective Risk-On with a hostile rate backdrop. Favor location over chasing.
  2. Hot themes: AI compute / optics / enterprise software remain core; refining is the important fresh theme.
  3. Buy-zone priority: TXN remains the cleanest high-quality Leader + Trending M Support setup; GLW, APH, NVT and TER also combine strong stories with structural location.
  4. Hot RR: DELL is the fresh CoreWatch TT Swing Good RR name, LONG with RR(M) 2.1:1.
  5. Silent trend: MPC / VLO are the best Direct New discoveries; catalyst is real, location is not yet preferred.
  6. Rare long-term location: NYT is the standout Y Support name.
  7. Short side: only WULF / CTVA / BG are near M Resistance; use as research filters, not automatic shorts.
  8. Portfolio: NOW remains the cleanest software diversifier; ETN remains the power-infrastructure diversifier. New hardware exposure must be judged against ANET / ENTG concentration.
  9. Next session workflow: regime → theme → four support windows → CoreWatch TT Good RR → IN/OUT flow → single research queue → actionable list.

TT101 workflow: Hot Theme → Hot Stock → TT Good RR / M Support → one story check → capital decision → TT Swing management.

Sources referenced in Issue 64 include company Q2 2026 investor relations releases, Reuters Sep 21–24, 2026, MT Newswires Sep 24, and TT101 internal Sep 25 breadth / participation uploads. Research and education only; not individualized investment advice.