Broad Selling Pressure Exposes Sharp Industry Dispersion
TT101 breadth weakened sharply as bearish participation rose above bullish participation and declining stocks dominated dollar turnover. Contract drilling and recreational products retained positive leadership, while semiconductors and electronics deteriorated. HP is the sole new official selection; AMD closes on a verified TT Swing transition.
Market Dashboard
TT101 breadth turned decisively weaker: 338 of 880 stocks (38.4%) were bullish while 468 (53.2%) were bearish. Decliners represented 72.8% of the eligible universe and 87.3% of its dollar turnover, showing broad selling pressure rather than a narrow headline decline.
Based on the completed 30 October U.S. session. Dollar turnover measures trading activity, not net investment flows. The matched 821-stock cohort also weakened—593 decliners versus 227 advancers—so eligibility changes do not explain the result.
Market Regime
The S&P 500 fell 1.82%, the Nasdaq Composite 2.86% and the Russell 2000 1.69%. The SOX fell 7.20% as technology weakness broadened, while the VIX rose to 19.41.
Risk posture: smaller, selective long exposure is appropriate while bearish participation exceeds bullish participation and declining stocks dominate turnover. Positive pockets remain in oil production, restaurants, recreational products and contract drilling; exposure can broaden only after participation improves and persists.
Market Rotation
The eligible universe expanded to 880 stocks, with 59 additions and 18 removals versus the prior comparable file. Setup 1 produced 9 LONG and 15 SHORT breakouts; Setup 2 produced six confirmed SHORT continuation bounces and no LONG bounces. These are membership and signal observations, not money flows.
| Movement | Tickers / research notes |
|---|---|
| Setup 1 LONG | CRGY, FRPT, HP, IP, JHX, LGND, PTGX, THO, VG |
| Setup 1 SHORT | ARW, CRCL, DAVE, DUOL, HPQ, IDCC, MSTR, ON, PEGA, QCOM, SNOW, SNX, ST, VIRT, VST |
| Setup 2 LONG | — |
| Setup 2 SHORT | ALGN, APH, GGB, GNRC, LRN, PENG |
One-session technical-rating changes remain provisional, not capital flows. The strongest synchronized downside clusters were Electronics Distributors (ARW, SNX), Semiconductors (ON, QCOM, PENG) and Electronic Components (APH); five- and ten-session persistence remains unavailable.
Trending Themes
All 880 eligible stocks are rated: 338 bullish, 74 neutral and 468 bearish. Industry leadership below is based on pure constituent counts and percentages; small groups are tentative and five-/ten-session history is not yet available.
| Industry | N | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish | 1D / 5D / 10D | Setup evidence | Research leader |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines | 6 | 6 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | CHH |
| Oil & gas production | 6 | 6 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | PTEN |
| Movies/Entertainment | 5 | 5 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +20.0pp / — / — | — | CHDN |
| Discount stores | 3 | 3 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | DLTR |
| Beverages: non-alcoholic | 2 | 2 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +50.0pp / — / — | — | COKE |
| Environmental services | 2 | 2 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | CWST |
| Food: major diversified | 2 | 2 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +100.0pp / — / — | — | CAG |
| Forest products | 2 | 2 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | TREX |
| Household/Personal care | 2 | 2 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | EL |
| Insurance brokers/Services | 2 | 2 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | RYAN |
| Oil & gas pipelines | 2 | 2 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | LONG: VG | VG |
| Commercial printing/Forms | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | — / — / — | — | BZ |
| Construction materials | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | LONG: JHX | JHX |
| Industrial specialties | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +100.0pp / — / — | — | OLN |
| Miscellaneous manufacturing | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | LCII |
| Multi-line insurance | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | KNSL |
| Personnel services | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | RHI |
| Property/Casualty insurance | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | — / — / — | — | ERIE |
| Pulp & paper | 1 | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | LONG: IP | IP |
| Restaurants | 11 | 10 · 90.9% | 1 · 9.1% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | WING |
| Recreational products | 5 | 4 · 80.0% | 1 · 20.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | LONG: THO | HAYW |
| Contract drilling | 5 | 4 · 80.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 20.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | LONG: HP | VAL |
| Specialty stores | 17 | 13 · 76.5% | 3 · 17.6% | 1 · 5.9% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | BBWI |
| Containers/Packaging | 4 | 3 · 75.0% | 1 · 25.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +25.0pp / — / — | — | SLGN |
| Marine shipping | 8 | 6 · 75.0% | 1 · 12.5% | 1 · 12.5% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | FRO |
| Apparel/Footwear retail | 8 | 6 · 75.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 2 · 25.0% | -8.3pp / — / — | — | CPRI |
| Department stores | 4 | 3 · 75.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 25.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | KSS |
| Financial publishing/Services | 4 | 3 · 75.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 25.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | EFX |
| Hospital/Nursing management | 4 | 3 · 75.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 25.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | HCA |
| Managed health care | 4 | 3 · 75.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 25.0% | +25.0pp / — / — | — | CNC |
| Homebuilding | 7 | 5 · 71.4% | 2 · 28.6% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | CVCO |
| Electronics/Appliances | 3 | 2 · 66.7% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 33.3% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | SN |
| Pharmaceuticals: other | 3 | 2 · 66.7% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 33.3% | +66.7pp / — / — | — | BHC |
| Apparel/Footwear | 11 | 7 · 63.6% | 1 · 9.1% | 3 · 27.3% | +3.6pp / — / — | — | VFC |
| Integrated oil | 10 | 6 · 60.0% | 2 · 20.0% | 2 · 20.0% | +5.5pp / — / — | LONG: CRGY | IMO |
| Building products | 5 | 3 · 60.0% | 1 · 20.0% | 1 · 20.0% | -6.7pp / — / — | — | MAS |
| Medical/Nursing services | 5 | 3 · 60.0% | 1 · 20.0% | 1 · 20.0% | +10.0pp / — / — | — | BTSG |
| Food: specialty/candy | 5 | 3 · 60.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 2 · 40.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | LONG: FRPT | LW |
| Information technology services | 25 | 14 · 56.0% | 2 · 8.0% | 9 · 36.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | SHORT: HPQ, PEGA | ACN |
| Real estate investment trusts | 9 | 5 · 55.6% | 1 · 11.1% | 3 · 33.3% | -11.1pp / — / — | — | CCI |
| Miscellaneous commercial services | 24 | 13 · 54.2% | 1 · 4.2% | 10 · 41.7% | -4.2pp / — / — | — | BAH |
| Pharmaceuticals: major | 35 | 18 · 51.4% | 6 · 17.1% | 11 · 31.4% | -5.3pp / — / — | LONG: LGND, PTGX | LLY |
| Packaged software | 85 | 43 · 50.6% | 6 · 7.1% | 36 · 42.4% | -11.5pp / — / — | SHORT: CRCL, DUOL, IDCC, SNOW | GEN |
| Electronics/Appliance stores | 2 | 1 · 50.0% | 1 · 50.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | BBY |
| Home furnishings | 2 | 1 · 50.0% | 1 · 50.0% | 0 · 0.0% | -50.0pp / — / — | — | PATK |
| Home improvement chains | 2 | 1 · 50.0% | 1 · 50.0% | 0 · 0.0% | -50.0pp / — / — | — | BLDR |
| Advertising/Marketing services | 2 | 1 · 50.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 50.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | OMC |
| Chemicals: agricultural | 2 | 1 · 50.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 50.0% | +16.7pp / — / — | — | CF |
| Food retail | 2 | 1 · 50.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 50.0% | +50.0pp / — / — | — | ACI |
| Finance/Rental/Leasing | 15 | 7 · 46.7% | 2 · 13.3% | 6 · 40.0% | -7.2pp / — / — | — | GPN |
| Motor vehicles | 9 | 4 · 44.4% | 1 · 11.1% | 4 · 44.4% | +11.1pp / — / — | — | HOG |
| Other consumer services | 9 | 4 · 44.4% | 0 · 0.0% | 5 · 55.6% | +0.0pp / — / — | SHORT: LRN | HRB |
| Investment managers | 7 | 3 · 42.9% | 2 · 28.6% | 2 · 28.6% | -42.9pp / — / — | — | OWL |
| Internet retail | 7 | 3 · 42.9% | 1 · 14.3% | 3 · 42.9% | -7.1pp / — / — | — | ETSY |
| Real estate development | 7 | 3 · 42.9% | 1 · 14.3% | 3 · 42.9% | -7.1pp / — / — | — | JLL |
| Biotechnology | 35 | 15 · 42.9% | 4 · 11.4% | 16 · 45.7% | -13.0pp / — / — | — | MRNA |
| Steel | 7 | 3 · 42.9% | 0 · 0.0% | 4 · 57.1% | -14.3pp / — / — | SHORT: GGB | CLF |
| Trucking | 7 | 3 · 42.9% | 0 · 0.0% | 4 · 57.1% | +28.6pp / — / — | — | FDXF |
| Medical specialties | 26 | 11 · 42.3% | 2 · 7.7% | 13 · 50.0% | -28.3pp / — / — | SHORT: ALGN | CDNA |
| Chemicals: specialty | 5 | 2 · 40.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 3 · 60.0% | +15.0pp / — / — | — | CE |
| Oil refining/Marketing | 8 | 3 · 37.5% | 5 · 62.5% | 0 · 0.0% | +37.5pp / — / — | — | PSX |
| Internet software/Services | 16 | 6 · 37.5% | 2 · 12.5% | 8 · 50.0% | -2.5pp / — / — | — | TRI |
| Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery | 6 | 2 · 33.3% | 2 · 33.3% | 2 · 33.3% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | BC |
| Wholesale distributors | 6 | 2 · 33.3% | 0 · 0.0% | 4 · 66.7% | -16.7pp / — / — | — | POOL |
| Data processing services | 18 | 5 · 27.8% | 0 · 0.0% | 13 · 72.2% | +1.5pp / — / — | — | TYL |
| Casinos/Gaming | 4 | 1 · 25.0% | 1 · 25.0% | 2 · 50.0% | +25.0pp / — / — | — | FLUT |
| Oilfield services/Equipment | 8 | 2 · 25.0% | 1 · 12.5% | 5 · 62.5% | -12.5pp / — / — | — | WFRD |
| Air freight/Couriers | 4 | 1 · 25.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 3 · 75.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | CART |
| Specialty telecommunications | 4 | 1 · 25.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 3 · 75.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | ECHO |
| Aerospace & defense | 26 | 6 · 23.1% | 1 · 3.8% | 19 · 73.1% | -16.1pp / — / — | — | MIR |
| Telecommunications equipment | 5 | 1 · 20.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 4 · 80.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | VSAT |
| Industrial machinery | 29 | 5 · 17.2% | 1 · 3.4% | 23 · 79.3% | +0.6pp / — / — | — | FLS |
| Electronic equipment/Instruments | 13 | 2 · 15.4% | 0 · 0.0% | 11 · 84.6% | -17.9pp / — / — | SHORT: ST | ITRI |
| Airlines | 7 | 1 · 14.3% | 3 · 42.9% | 3 · 42.9% | -14.3pp / — / — | — | LUV |
| Financial conglomerates | 7 | 1 · 14.3% | 0 · 0.0% | 6 · 85.7% | +0.0pp / — / — | SHORT: MSTR | PURR |
| Engineering & construction | 16 | 2 · 12.5% | 0 · 0.0% | 14 · 87.5% | -6.2pp / — / — | — | IBP |
| Investment banks/Brokers | 18 | 2 · 11.1% | 4 · 22.2% | 12 · 66.7% | -32.6pp / — / — | SHORT: VIRT | CBOE |
| Semiconductors | 49 | 5 · 10.2% | 2 · 4.1% | 42 · 85.7% | -14.2pp / — / — | SHORT: ON, PENG, QCOM | NXPI |
| Electronic production equipment | 13 | 1 · 7.7% | 0 · 0.0% | 12 · 92.3% | -7.7pp / — / — | — | OLED |
| Electrical products | 16 | 1 · 6.2% | 0 · 0.0% | 15 · 93.8% | -7.1pp / — / — | SHORT: GNRC | AYI |
| Food: meat/fish/dairy | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | 0 · 0.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | JBS |
| Cable/Satellite TV | 2 | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 50.0% | 1 · 50.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | CHTR |
| Other transportation | 2 | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 50.0% | 1 · 50.0% | -50.0pp / — / — | — | SARO |
| Agricultural commodities/Milling | 3 | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 33.3% | 2 · 66.7% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | CALM |
| Wireless telecommunications | 4 | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 25.0% | 3 · 75.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | TMUS |
| Major banks | 9 | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 11.1% | 8 · 88.9% | +0.0pp / — / — | SHORT: DAVE | HAPN |
| Precious metals | 21 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 21 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | RGLD |
| Other metals/Minerals | 14 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 14 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | TECK |
| Computer processing hardware | 9 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 9 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | ZBRA |
| Auto parts: OEM | 7 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 7 · 100.0% | -16.7pp / — / — | — | ITT |
| Computer peripherals | 7 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 7 · 100.0% | -28.6pp / — / — | — | P |
| Electronic components | 7 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 7 · 100.0% | -14.3pp / — / — | SHORT: APH | APH |
| Electric utilities | 5 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 5 · 100.0% | -20.0pp / — / — | SHORT: VST | PCG |
| Metal fabrication | 4 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 4 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | USAR |
| Aluminum | 3 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 3 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | AA |
| Electronics distributors | 3 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 3 · 100.0% | -33.3pp / — / — | SHORT: ARW, SNX | SNX |
| Alternative power generation | 2 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 2 · 100.0% | -50.0pp / — / — | — | TLN |
| Chemicals: major diversified | 2 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 2 · 100.0% | -50.0pp / — / — | — | SOLS |
| Coal | 2 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 2 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | HCC |
| Investment trusts | 2 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 2 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | TPL |
| Regional banks | 2 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 2 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | NU |
| Automotive aftermarket | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | LKQ |
| Beverages: alcoholic | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | ABEV |
| Food distributors | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | CHEF |
| Major telecommunications | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | LUMN |
| Media conglomerates | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | SPHR |
| Specialty insurance | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | — / — / — | — | STC |
| Water utilities | 1 | 0 · 0.0% | 0 · 0.0% | 1 · 100.0% | +0.0pp / — / — | — | SBS |
Leading with meaningful breadth: Oil & Gas Production 100% bullish (6/6), Restaurants 90.9% (10/11), Recreational Products 80.0% (4/5) and Contract Drilling 80.0% (4/5).
Weakening: Semiconductors fell to 10.2% bullish and 85.7% bearish (N=49); Electronic Equipment/Instruments fell to 15.4% bullish and 84.6% bearish (N=13). One-session comparisons are provisional.
Long Opportunities
Nine verified Setup 1 LONG breakouts matched the eligible universe; no Setup 2 LONG bounce qualified. Five HOT remains explanatory, while industry breadth and TT Swing timing control technical selection.
| # / Stock | HOT /5 | Industry breadth | Setup | Close / M Pivot | Stop / T1 | T2 / T3 | Financials | Earnings | Evidence & risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · HP | 5/5 | 80.0% B · 20.0% Br · N=5 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $42.99 / $40.49 | $40.17 / $44.82 | $52.49 / $56.82 | FCF $315,289,000.00 · FCF YoY +762.69% · Rev +16.57% | 2026-11-19 | Contract Drilling is 80% bullish (4/5). TBS breakout has substantial T2/T3 runway; oil-service cyclicality and 19 Nov earnings remain risks. |
| 2 · CRGY | 5/5 | 60.0% B · 20.0% Br · N=10 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $14.20 / $13.68 | $13.54 / $14.68 | $16.46 / $17.46 | FCF $833,738,000.00 · FCF YoY +16.56% · Rev +24.25% | 2026-11-02 | Integrated Oil improved to 60% bullish (6/10). Cash flow and revenue are growing, but 2 Nov earnings create immediate gap risk. |
| 3 · THO | 4/5 | 80.0% B · 0.0% Br · N=5 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $73.90 / $71.40 | $71.85 / $75.50 | $81.89 / $85.99 | FCF $168,836,000.00 · FCF YoY -62.89% · Rev +0.31% | 2026-12-09 | Recreational Products is 80% bullish (4/5). Trend and T2/T3 runway are constructive; FCF growth remains negative. |
| 4 · PTGX | 4/5 | 51.4% B · 31.4% Br · N=35 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $144.85 / $142.08 | $139.92 / $150.05 | $159.22 / $167.19 | FCF $130,582,000.00 · FCF YoY +251.98% · Rev +34.81% | 2026-11-05 | Major Pharmaceuticals is only 51.4% bullish and weakened 5.3pp. Strong cash-flow/catalyst evidence is offset by fading industry breadth. |
| 5 · FRPT | 4/5 | 60.0% B · 40.0% Br · N=5 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $67.50 / $61.92 | $65.35 / $67.83 | $78.10 / $84.02 | FCF $61,046,000.00 · FCF YoY — · Rev +12.77% | 2026-11-04 | Food Specialty is 60% bullish (3/5). T2/T3 runway exists, but price is 2.34 ATR above pivot and FCF growth is unverified. |
| 6 · JHX | 3/5 | 100.0% B · 0.0% Br · N=1 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $27.24 / $27.12 | $26.43 / $29.62 | $33.93 / $36.43 | FCF $354,332,010.00 · FCF YoY -12.52% · Rev +42.93% | 2026-11-05 | Strong pivot proximity and runway, but the industry has only one eligible constituent and TTM FCF growth is negative. |
| 7 · VG | 3/5 | 100.0% B · 0.0% Br · N=2 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $14.79 / $13.76 | $14.19 / $15.18 | $17.72 / $19.14 | FCF $-6,990,000,000.00 · FCF YoY +32.68% · Rev +100.72% | 2026-11-10 | Pipeline breadth is 100% bullish but only N=2. TTM FCF is negative and leverage is high. |
| 8 · IP | 3/5 | 100.0% B · 0.0% Br · N=1 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $36.37 / $34.65 | $35.08 / $36.42 | $39.67 / $41.45 | FCF $75,000,000.00 · FCF YoY — · Rev +3.02% | 2027-02-04 | Tiny N=1 industry and T1 is almost exhausted; T2/T3 remain farther away but cash-flow growth is unverified. |
| 9 · LGND | 3/5 | 51.4% B · 31.4% Br · N=35 | Setup 1 · LONG TBS | $322.75 / $300.12 | $309.28 / $329.48 | $346.58 / $375.94 | FCF — · FCF YoY — · Rev +1.03% | 2027-03-04 | Positive individual trend but major-pharma breadth weakened; TTM FCF is unavailable and pivot distance is extended. |
Only the two owner-approved trend-following setups qualify. No countertrend, support-touch-only or reversal setup is included.
Short Opportunities
Fifteen Setup 1 SHORT breakouts and six Setup 2 SHORT continuation bounces matched the eligible universe. The rows below prioritize bearish industry alignment and setup quality; they are research, not execution instructions.
| Ticker | Price | Day | TT Swing | Industry breadth | Research & risks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARW | $208.34 | -5.69% | TBS SHORT | 100.0% bearish · N=3 | Electronics Distributors is 100% bearish; earnings 5 Nov and sharp-reversal risk require caution. |
| SNX | $236.62 | -7.23% | TBS SHORT | 100.0% bearish · N=3 | Second independent short in a three-stock, 100% bearish industry cluster; T1 is close and extension risk is high. |
| VST | $138.37 | -1.83% | TBS SHORT | 100.0% bearish · N=5 | Electric Utilities deteriorated to 100% bearish; defined monthly downside runway, but utility volatility can reverse. |
| APH | $79.30 | -3.39% | TCS SHORT | 100.0% bearish · N=7 | Electronic Components is 100% bearish and weakening; Setup 2 confirms continuation, with earnings gap risk reduced after the event. |
| QCOM | $164.79 | -11.12% | TBS SHORT | 85.7% bearish · N=49 | Semiconductors are 85.7% bearish and falling; TBS aligns, but T1 is close and headline volatility is high. |
| PENG | $51.93 | -11.67% | TCS SHORT | 85.7% bearish · N=49 | Semiconductors remain deeply bearish; TCS continuation aligns, but hardware beta and gap risk are material. |
Electronics Distributors supplies the strongest synchronized cluster (ARW and SNX; two of three industry members), while Semiconductors supplies both TBS and TCS evidence across ON, QCOM and PENG.
Our Picks
HP is the only new official Daily Edge selection. CRGY and THO remain research comparisons because immediate earnings risk and weaker cash-flow growth, respectively, reduce conviction.
| Priority | Ticker / HOT | Business / Theme | Financial evidence | Trend / Monthly pivot | Research caution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HP · 5/5 | Global land-drilling scale and advanced drilling technology; Contract Drilling is 80% bullish (4/5). | TTM FCF $315.3M, FCF growth +762.7%, revenue growth +16.6%. | LONG TBS at $42.99; pivot $40.49, stop $40.17, T2/T3 runway 3.37R/4.91R. | Cyclical oil-service demand; fiscal-year results due 19 Nov. |
| 2 | CRGY · 5/5 | Balanced U.S. oil portfolio; Integrated Oil improved to 60% bullish. | TTM FCF $833.7M, FCF growth +16.6%, revenue growth +24.3%. | LONG TBS at $14.20; pivot $13.68; T2/T3 runway 3.43R/4.93R. | Results due 2 Nov; event gap and commodity risk prevent an official selection. |
| 3 | THO · 4/5 | Scaled RV manufacturing; Recreational Products is 80% bullish. | TTM FCF $168.8M and revenue growth +0.3%; FCF growth −62.9%. | LONG TBS at $73.90; pivot $71.40; T2/T3 runway 3.91R/5.91R. | Weak FCF trend and cyclical consumer demand reduce conviction. |
Stock of the Day
Why HP: H&P combines a verified early LONG breakout with 80% bullish industry breadth, positive TTM free cash flow, sharply higher FCF and revenue growth, and meaningful T2/T3 runway. The company operates a large global rig fleet and continues expanding drilling robotics, including FlexRobotics deployment. Company evidence.
Risks: drilling demand is cyclical and sensitive to producer budgets and commodity prices. Price is already 1.57 ATR above the monthly pivot, T1 offers only 0.65R, and 19 November results create event risk. The model reference is the frozen monthly pivot, not a member fill or return guarantee.
Opportunity Pool
A persistent research inventory. Daily Edge monitors and updates candidates; Portfolio Desk alone manages model positions. No forced daily picks or trades.
30 Setup 1/Setup 2 scanner-qualified symbols, awaiting individual industry, invalidation and rejection review. They are not verified live trade signals or portfolio holdings.
Copyable LONG alert list: CRGY, FRPT, HP, IP, JHX, LGND, PTGX, THO, VG
Copyable SHORT research alert list: ARW, CRCL, DAVE, DUOL, HPQ, IDCC, MSTR, ON, PEGA, QCOM, SNOW, SNX, ST, VIRT, VST, ALGN, APH, GGB, GNRC, LRN, PENG
LONG · Portfolio-eligible research
| TICKER | INDUSTRY | BULLISH % | 1D Δ | DAILY % | TT SIGNAL / DATE | NEWS | EARNINGS | SETUP | DIRECTION | REVIEW STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRGY | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| FRPT | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| HP | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| IP | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| JHX | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| LGND | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| PTGX | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| THO | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
| VG | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | LONG | Candidate · review pending |
SHORT · Research only / Not traded
| TICKER | INDUSTRY | BULLISH % | 1D Δ | DAILY % | TT SIGNAL / DATE | NEWS | EARNINGS | SETUP | DIRECTION | REVIEW STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARW | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| CRCL | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| DAVE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| DUOL | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| HPQ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| IDCC | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| MSTR | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| ON | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| PEGA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| QCOM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| SNOW | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| SNX | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| ST | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| VIRT | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| VST | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 1 · Breakout | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| ALGN | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 2 · Bounce | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| APH | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 2 · Bounce | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| GGB | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 2 · Bounce | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| GNRC | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 2 · Bounce | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| LRN | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 2 · Bounce | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
| PENG | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Setup 2 · Bounce | SHORT | Research only · no model shorts |
Older research picks, including winners and losses, remain preserved in the historical research archive. Previous open candidates require reconciliation into the active pool; do not assume scanner disappearance means rejection. Scanner snapshot prices are not verified executions.
Market Outlook
The 30 October session delivered broad selling pressure: bearish technical participation rose to 53.2%, decliners reached 72.8% of the eligible universe and declining stocks accounted for 87.3% of dollar turnover. That combination argues for selective, smaller long exposure—not a claim of net outflows or guaranteed continuation.
Industry dispersion remains actionable. Contract Drilling and Recreational Products are 80% bullish, while Semiconductors are 85.7% bearish and Electronics Distributors 100% bearish. HP is the sole new official long selection because its Setup 1 breakout, industry breadth, cash-flow evidence and T2/T3 runway align; AMD closes on its verified TT Swing transition.
TT101 Research will track whether the selling intensity persists, whether positive industry pockets broaden, and whether HP maintains its LONG state above defined risk. Market Intelligence. Better Decisions.