TT101 DAILY EDGE · ISSUE 65 · 26 SEP 2026
Friday Rebound Holds. Structural Buy Zones Stay Strong.
Daily Edge brings together market regime, theme leadership, structural entry opportunities, catalysts, company research, both the long and short sides of the market, portfolio context and risk — helping you make better-informed decisions each day.
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Dashboard
REGIME: SELECTIVE RISK-ON / RATE VOLATILITY / LOCATION FIRST
| Market measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| Trending | 93 vs 94 |
| QM+ | 77 · 83% |
| TS Active | 57 · 61% |
| Median RV | 0.73 |
| Turnover | $183B |
| Direct New | 4 |
| Name | Decision & why |
|---|---|
| PWR | SELECT CORE M SUPPORT TREND M SUPPORT RR(M) GOOD 2.7:1 · cleanest multi-engine setup. |
| FIX | SELECT M SUPPORT Structurally strong candidate with exceptional cash-flow growth. |
| SNDK / BE | SELECT FAVORABLE RR Structurally strong names; both retain intact AI-infrastructure demand stories. |
| DINO | WAIT ENTRY DIRECT NEW Hot refining story; no preferred entry location yet. |
Single takeaway: AI compute, power infrastructure and optics remain the core leadership clusters. Favor high-quality M Support / TT Good RR names; use Direct New and short screens for discovery and context, not chasing.
Market Regime
Selective Risk-On: Location First
The market is still rewarding high-quality growth, but the bond market imposes a higher bar on entry location. TT Good RR and M Support remain the priority.
Friday close: S&P 500 +0.5%, Nasdaq +0.5%, Dow +0.9%. The 10Y Treasury yield reached 5.2297% intraday before stabilizing.
Breadth & activity: Trending ALL 93; QM-positive 77/93 (83%). Median RV eased to 0.73 and turnover to about $183B.
Leadership: Technology remains dominant, accounting for about 76% of Trending turnover.
Short pressure: Trending DOWN fell to 28 names and M Resistance to 1 — bearish pressure is not broadening.
Theme & Leadership Map
| Theme | Leadership & stocks |
|---|---|
| AI Compute / Memory | Strong MU SNDK INTC AMD STX ARM LRCX ALAB |
| AI Power / Data-Center Build | Strong BE FIX PWR |
| AI Networking / Optics | Strong LITE MRVL GLW APH |
| Enterprise AI / Security / Cloud | Strong META PLTR NET PANW DDOG CRWD |
| Refining / Energy | Emerging DINO PBF VLO MPC |
Structural Entry Windows
| Window | Ticker · Price / RR |
|---|---|
| CoreWatch M Support | FIX1658.91PWR649.13AEM194.48 |
| Leaders M Support | GLW156.74SHOP142.25PANW374.74ASML1743.94LRCX315.21MPWR1367.43 |
| Trending M Support | PWR649.13EBAY107.90SHOP142.25PANW374.74ASML1743.94LRCX315.21MPWR1367.43CORT116.10RVMD204.97TSEM230.47 |
| Fresh TT RR(Q) GOOD | SNDK10:1+ALAB5.3:1ADI3.5:1DELL3.1:1NET2.4:1 |
| Fresh TT RR(M) GOOD | PWR2.7:1 |
| Still favorable TT RR(Q) | NVT4.2:1BE3.6:1APH2.7:1 |
| Y Support | AMP493.00CLSK13.95HCA435.61 |
How to read the windows: M Support and Y Support identify structural price locations. TT RR(Q) and RR(M) are favorable quarterly and monthly reward-to-risk windows from the TT Swing engine; 3.5:1 means 3.5 units of potential reward for one unit of defined risk. A ticker can appear in more than one window when signals converge.
Convergence: CORE + TREND — PWR · LEADER + TREND — ASML, LRCX, MPWR, PANW, SHOP.
Y Support: none clears today’s company-strength bar.
Entry Engines + Trending Flow
| Ticker | Signal & risk/reward |
|---|---|
| SNDK | LONG / RR(Q) GOOD 10:1+ |
| ALAB | LONG / RR(Q) GOOD 5.3:1 |
| ADI | LONG / RR(Q) GOOD 3.5:1 |
| DELL | LONG / RR(Q) GOOD 3.1:1 |
| NET | LONG / RR(Q) GOOD 2.4:1 |
| PWR | LONG / RR(M) GOOD 2.7:1 |
Still Favorable RR(Q)
NVT 4.2:1 BE 3.6:1 APH 2.7:1
Trending Flow
| State change | Stocks |
|---|---|
| NEW IN | ASML DINO HUM LRCX PBF PWR RVMD TSEM TXG |
| DIRECT NEW | DINO HUM PBF TXG |
| GRADUATED | APH DDOG HCA NVT TER |
| OUT | APA CRCL FRO FSLY GDDY IREN NOW RBLX TXN ULTA |
Direct New: a discovery list for research; entry still requires TT Good RR or M Support.
Short Side
Short Pressure Narrows
Trending DOWN has 28 names. M Resistance has narrowed to one: RIVN at 15.47, with FCF -186% and revenue +14.2%.
RIVN thesis: It has severe FCF burn, but Q2 revenue grew 27%, gross profit turned positive and management improved 2026 guidance. Location alone is insufficient for a clean broken-business short.
Single Research Queue
Merged queue: SNDK · BE · FIX · GLW · NET · DELL · PWR · APH · NVT · ADI · DINO
| Ticker | Verdict & company momentum |
|---|---|
| SNDK | SELECT: FY26 revenue +175%; Datacenter revenue +437%; Q4 revenue +51% sequentially. |
| BE | SELECT: Q2 revenue $1.07B, +166%; operating cash flow positive at $226M; guidance raised. |
| FIX | SELECT: Q2 revenue +50% to $3.27B; operating cash flow $1.14B; backlog $14.06B. |
| GLW | SELECT: Q2 core sales +17%; Optical +32%; Enterprise Networks +65%; adjusted FCF $1.42B. |
| NET | SELECT: Q2 revenue +36% to $696M; current RPO +35%; FCF $56M. |
| DELL | SELECT: fiscal Q2 revenue $47B, +58%; AI server orders $60.9B; backlog $95B. |
| PWR | SELECT: Q2 revenue $9.56B; FCF $0.9B; backlog $53.4B; 2026 expectations raised. |
| APH | SELECT: sales +55%, organic +30%, orders $10.7B, FCF $1.2B. |
| NVT | SELECT: sales +53%, organic +47%, FCF +125%; full-year guidance raised. |
| ADI | SELECT: fiscal Q3 revenue $4.02B; TTM FCF $4.94B vs $3.68B a year earlier. |
| DINO | WAIT ENTRY: strong refining cash generation and +301% scanner FCF growth; no TT Good RR / M Support yet. |
Single Stock Deep Dive
PWR — Structural Convergence
- Theme: AI Power / Data-Center Build remains a leading structural theme.
- Location: CoreWatch M Support + Trending M Support + fresh TT RR(M) 2.7:1.
- Business momentum: Q2 revenue $9.56B; backlog $53.4B; 2026 expectations were raised.
- Cash generation: Q2 free cash flow was about $0.9B.
- Portfolio context: existing ANET, ENTG and ETN exposure already creates meaningful AI/data-center infrastructure sensitivity, so concentration matters.
Research read: company story and structural location are aligned; portfolio concentration is the main constraint.
Positions + Capital Decision
Current Positions POSITION
| Ticker | Holding status |
|---|---|
| ANET | POSITION |
| ENTG | POSITION |
| ETN | POSITION |
| NOW | POSITION |
Exact quantities and portfolio weights are not shown here; management remains driven by the TT101 risk framework.
Actionable List ACTIONABLE
Candidates with a TT favorable RR or M Support location from this issue. Review each against existing exposure before adding capital.
| Ticker | Status & location |
|---|---|
| SNDK | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 1777.80 · TT Q RR 10:1+ |
| BE | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 288.70 · TT Q RR 3.6:1 |
| FIX | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 1658.91 · Core M Support active |
| GLW | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 156.74 · Leader M Support active View research → |
| NET | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 348.80 · TT Q RR 2.4:1 |
| DELL | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 562.90 · TT Q RR 3.1:1 View research → |
| PWR | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 649.13 · Core + Trend MS / TT M 2.7 |
| APH | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 84.09 · TT Q RR 2.7:1 View research → |
| NVT | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 164.41 · TT Q RR 4.2:1 View research → |
| ADI | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 393.60 · TT Q RR 3.5:1 |
| ALAB | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 364.62 · TT Q RR 5.3:1 |
| SHOP | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 142.25 · Leader + Trend MS View research → |
| PANW | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 374.74 · Leader + Trend MS |
| ASML | ACTIONABLE SELECT Px 1743.94 · Leader + Trend MS |
Risk board: 10Y reached 5.23% intraday; ANET, ENTG and ETN create meaningful AI/data-center infrastructure overlap, while NOW adds enterprise-software exposure. Direct New remains research, not chase.
Final Inference
Regime: Selective Risk-On
Favor high-quality structural entries; do not chase extended names.
Theme leadership: AI compute/memory, AI power/buildout, networking/optics and enterprise AI remain core leadership clusters. Refining is the important fresh theme.
Best aligned: PWR is the cleanest convergence today. FIX is one of the strongest M Support company stories.
Favorable RR: SNDK and BE remain two of the strongest favorable-RR company stories; NET, DELL, ADI and ALAB also have fresh Q RR events.
Discovery: DINO is the strongest Direct New discovery, but entry location is not ready.
Other support: Y Support has AMP / CLSK / HCA, but none clears today’s company-strength bar.
Short side: Short breadth improved; RIVN is the only M Resistance name and the thesis remains mixed.
Positions: ANET / ENTG / ETN / NOW remain the confirmed managed positions.
TT101 workflow: Theme → Company Research → Structural Entry → Capital Decision → Risk Management.
Research and education only. Not individualized investment advice.
